Elephant to Oppose Obama

Who would be a successful Republican candidate in 2012. I take this to mean “someone who could plausibly defeat President Obama’s bid for re-election.”

My somewhat uninformed guesses: David Petraeus and Colin Powell (who’d have all kinds of difficulty winning the primary). These accomplished generals share one related trait: deep credibility as men who are serious about national security, enabling them to run as sane, experienced stewards, rather than bellicose idiots so desperate to seem toughest on terrorism that they spend the primaries calling for “doubling Gitmo” and competing to see who would torture in more contrived ticking time bomb situations.

They’re also both post-partisan figures of the kind that Americans seem to like, haven’t got long voting records to be picked apart, and can nevertheless credibly claim more executive experience than President Obama.

I’m sure there are other candidates who could also mount a credible challenge, though I don’t know who they are. Folks who can’t unseat President Obama, in my quite fallible opinion: Mitt Romney, who might actually make a good president, Sarah Palin, who wouldn’t, Ron Paul, who the American people would never elect, and Mike Huckabee, who would spend lots of money at home and abroad.

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4 Responses to “Elephant to Oppose Obama”

  1. davidlosangeles Says:

    Mr. Friedersdorf,

    Isn’t it just a tad early for this? The mid term elections have not even begun in earnest. There is so much that that is going to happen between now and November 2012. Throwing out WAGs now is surely pointless. Who would have picked Mr. Obama to win the Democratic nomination in September 2005 or George W. Bush in September 1997?

  2. expatjourno Says:

    Huckabee will clean Obama’s clock as he motivates his base to a frenzy while Obama’s base looks at their candidate and goes, “Meh.” Petraeus will be Huckabee’s running mate.

  3. murphy233 Says:

    If Obama continues too show that he is ineffective, then I doubt that he will even be a candidate for 2012

  4. Bill Dupray Says:

    Either Obama or Hillary would have beaten McCain. Sometimes it is just time for the other guys to win one. Obama may end up beating himself and whomever shows up for the GOP wins.

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